Research & publications

Asking better questions

A price on paper is not always the price at the mandi — and markets move on more than economics. Two published papers and one international policy round.

2

published research papers

7 of 8

years wheat prices met or beat MSP in Haryana

55

sources behind the geopolitics paper

1

policy brief accepted by the Haryana Government

Published in IJSSRR · Sole author · Research apprentice under Dr. Diksha Arora

Minimum Support Price and Price Realisation in Haryana

Do Haryana's farmers receive prices near the MSP, and what explains the gaps? A mixed-methods study combining government price and MSP series (2016–17 to 2023–24) with HAFED procurement data and interviews with 5 farmers in Karnal, Mahendragarh, Kaithal, Sonipat and Sirsa.

  • Wheat farmers received prices at or above MSP in 7 of 8 years, with an average gap of about 2.1%; the one shortfall was 2020–21, at 6.8% below.
  • Public procurement took 40 to 75% of wheat production. In 2021–22, prices in 17 of 22 districts sat exactly at MSP.
  • District rice prices varied by about 21.7% in 2021–22 — the state average includes basmati, hiding how non-basmati growers fare.
  • Haryana runs 367 HAFED mandis and purchase centres, supplies about 14% of India's central grain pool, and procured 71.51 lakh tonnes of wheat in 2024–25 and 70.34 lakh tonnes in 2025–26.

Conclusion: MSP in Haryana is strong but conditional on procurement reaching the farmer.

Policy brief — accepted by the Haryana Government

  • Easier procurement registration for tenant farmers
  • Stronger procurement for bajra and mustard
  • Clearer grading and quality deductions
  • Storage, credit and timely payment so farmers aren't pushed to sell cheaply after harvest
  • Separate price data for basmati and non-basmati rice

Validated by the District Food, Civil Supplies & Consumer Affairs Controller, Ambala.

Published in IJARESM, ISSN 2455-6211, Vol. 13, Issue 11, November 2025, pp. 1319–1331 · Independent author

How Are Geopolitical Tensions Affecting Global Stock Market Volatility

Four events from 2018 to 2025 — the US–China trade war, the Russia–Ukraine war, the Israel–Hamas war and Taiwan Strait tensions — traced across five sectors, using 55 sources including IMF and World Bank data.

Contribution: a "shockwave mechanism" with four channels through which a geopolitical shock spreads into markets — investor sentiment, supply chains, commodity prices and monetary policy — arguing that geopolitics is now a structural driver of market volatility.

International Public Policy Forum · Co-author, three-person team

A G20 tax for universal education

Representing Jayshree Periwal International School in the Qualifying Round Policy Paper: a G20 levy of 1% of GDP to fund free, quality primary and secondary education for every child — testing whether an informal, consensus-based forum could deliver such a tax, through realist and liberal-institutionalist theory.

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